Polymarket takes 2% on winnings. Jupiter going zero-fee via Telegram undercuts the entire prediction market fee stack while riding the BONKbot playbook that pushed $100M+ daily through Solana chat rails. Binary outcome markets embedded in group chats look exactly like the unlicensed sportsbook pattern the CFTC flagged during the Kalshi events contracts fight — resolution mechanism matters more than fees, and there's no disclosure yet on whether this runs UMA optimistic oracles or Jupiter-controlled adjudication.

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