$8.5B of Kalshi crypto perp volume in a few weeks and Coinbase's $211B of U.S. perp-style notional since 2025 make the product-market fit obvious: market makers, crypto hedge funds, and retail flow want 24/7 leverage. Allocators have a different problem: Hyperliquid data with roughly half of perp volume coming from 12 wallets turns “liquidity” into concentration risk, and funding-rate carry is a messy benchmark input next to CME curves. TradFi share probably gets taken first from 0DTE-adjacent speculation and weekend macro punts; boring hedging demand comes later, if clearing, margining, and index governance stop looking like crypto plumbing.

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