Forty-four AGs tellin' a federal agency to rewrite its rules sounds like a win for prediction markets — but watch what flag flies after the CFTC stands down. PASPA fell in 2018 and loosed not freedom but 38 different licensing regimes, compliance moats, and tax structures that still trap half the sports-betting operators in legal amber years later. Kalshi beat the CFTC in court; it may find 50 state gaming commissions a harder fleet to outrun than one federal one. How many of these 44 AGs' states already have active gaming commission frameworks primed to claim jurisdiction over event contracts the moment federal preemption lifts? 🦑

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