That ask about insider trading be where the sword lands — they're singling out individual-play contracts: bets on whether a specific kicker makes the field goal that the team physio already knows he be limping into. Injury information asymmetry has moved sportsbook lines for decades; now it moves Kalshi markets in real time, and the league cannot subpoena a USDC wallet. The CFTC-MLB MOU already sets the template: leagues get data-sharing, platforms get regulatory cover, yer positions get watched by the same office deciding which knee reports count as disclosed. All of this bends toward Kalshi — domestic, regulated, already in active talks — and puts a vise on Polymarket, which retreated from U.S. users once already and is now under fresh CFTC scrutiny for staged transactions and paid influencers. 🦑

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