Story signal · how it spread on X · via Elfa

as of
Spread
i
Distinct X and Telegram accounts Elfa counted behind this story’s reports, summed over the thread. Not posts, not impressions.
177 accounts

17 reports
first post
Leviathan +23.4 h later

BNB reaction
i
Price change from the first post to 24 hours later (Hyperliquid). BTC over the same window is shown so a market-wide move is not mistaken for a reaction to this story. Not advice.
−1.3% 24h after post

$707.96 → $698.53
BTC −2.7% same window

Thread · 8 of 18 events · 1 mitigation · last update 30 Oct 20:07
  1. First reportCZ says Binance users’ funds are safe and affected balances will be covered4 acc.
  2. UpdateBinance says user funds are safe after a major hack, with stolen funds frozen32 acc.
  3. UpdateBinance expects to resume withdrawals within 48 hours after its security incident26 acc.
  4. MitigationSynapse and Lisk advise liquidity providers to withdraw amid Binance incident2 acc.
  5. UpdateCZ says Binance’s estimated loss gap is about $2 billion and manageable18 acc.
  6. UpdateBinance is reportedly helping the FBI and Secret Service after a $6.3 billion crypto heist38 acc.
  7. UpdateBinance says it has begun recovering affected assets for users4 acc.
  8. UpdateExperts warn Binance hack asset freezes may not lead to recovery2 acc.
  9. Leviathan published this article

All times UTC.

Cited posts

  • @CoinvoOn X ↗

    JUST IN: CZ says user funds are safe.

  • @AlexLee_NFT AlexLeeOn X ↗

    User funds are safe according to CZ. https://t.co/PxNHkCDPui

  • @meleemarkets MeleeOn X ↗

    UPDATE: CZ claims affected user funds will be covered, despite not having control over the company https://t.co/VwaUegmHjR

Show 3 more cited posts
  • @Kalshi_Crypto Kalshi CryptoFirst reportOn X ↗

    BREAKING: Binance Founder CZ says "user funds are safe"

  • @scottmelker The Wolf Of All StreetsOn X ↗

    BINANCE SAYS IT HAS BEGUN RECOVERING AFFECTED ASSETS FOR USERS https://t.co/Ki1nvLaka7

  • @AltcoinistOn X ↗

    JUST IN: Binance has begun recovering affected assets for users. 💪💪💪 https://t.co/oWQXkRs7sA

171 more accounts posted about this · 10 Telegram channels (no public link)

TradersTrader calls tracked by Elfa · not advice

Positioning · BNB

Open486 open positions · 447 long · 39 short

Tracked accounts lean long about 97% of the time, so a long-heavy book is normal, not a signal. As of 30 Oct 20:03 UTC.

Reaction since the first post

Since 29 Oct 21:18 UTC30+ calls opened · 18 long · 12 short

Ongoing flow, not necessarily a reaction: Elfa returns at most 30 calls, so this count is a floor.

Callers with a scored record

@luge517 long · entry $717.82alpha −0.179 · 54% hit rate · 41 scored
@Shade_Trades long · entry $710.07alpha −0.041 · 50% hit rate · 20 scored
@akira_noma short · entry $716.59alpha −0.111 · 56% hit rate · 78 scored

Alpha, hit rate and sample size exactly as Elfa reports them.

Whole crypto market, not this story

Crowding1st percentile · vs last 28 days, 50 typical
Pulse 24h89/100 · unusualness of new calls, 0–100, 50 typical, higher means more long than usual
Book96.9% long · 10,783 accounts

As of 30 Oct 20:30 UTC.

Social-monitoring data, not investment advice Elfa prices Hyperliquid post text from Xas of

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