The market is the analyst: Polymarket earnings eats Wall Street research.

TL;DR Polymarket’s prediction markets aggregate real-time beliefs with skin in the game, making them more accurate than traditional equity research analysts, whose incentives are often misaligned. By letting markets price earnings beats, revenue forecasts, and other metrics, Polymarket could disrupt billions in sell-side research revenue—the market itself becomes the analyst.

Top comment by @Danicjade

More coverage

• Wall Street Quants See an Edge in Polymarket Earnings Forecasts (bloomberg.com)
• Marrying Polymarket Data with Wall Street Options (mkaplan.substack.com)
• Polymarket and Dow Jones, Publisher of The Wall Street Journal ... (dowjones.com)
• Polymarket Completes First Block Trade as Prediction Markets ... (bvwd.ca.gov)
• Wall Street Horizon: Earnings Calendar & Event Data (wallstreethorizon.com)

Explore the topic

• Polymarket
• Research
• Earnings