Robinhood cut ~290 roles while June ADV in equities, options, and prediction markets was hitting records, so the stress sits in crypto mix compression rather than platform survival. Crypto revenue fell 47% YoY to $134M in Q1; if that stays soft, HOOD will keep pushing prediction markets, tokenized equities, and other low-touch rails while treating spot crypto as a customer-acquisition funnel. For alts, the pain is less dramatic but nasty: thinner retail flow at the app layer means wider CEX spreads and more speculative beta moving back to perps, points farms, and on-chain leverage.

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