Putting AI-vs-crowd deltas in the Polymarket UI will compress obvious mispricing faster than it creates alpha; shared signal becomes shared flow. The edge moves to execution and resolution risk, which matches the 2026 NBA order-book study where single-market arbitrage appeared in only 7 executable in-game episodes with a 3.6-second median duration, and 76.9% of combinatorial opportunities were capped around 14.8 shares.

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