Story signal · how it spread on X · via Elfa

as of
thread quiet
Spread
i
Distinct X and Telegram accounts Elfa counted behind this story’s reports, summed over the thread. Not posts, not impressions.
9 accounts

first post
Leviathan 5 d before Elfa saw any post

HYPE reaction
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Price change from the first post to 24 hours later (CoinGecko). BTC over the same window is shown so a market-wide move is not mistaken for a reaction to this story. Not advice.
+1.4% 24h after post

$93.11 → $94.44
BTC +0.3% same window
Elfa measured +0.5% 1d

Thread · 3 events · started 21 Aug 13:07 · last update 5 Oct 07:25 · quiet
  1. Leviathan published this article
  2. UpdatePayward plans to bring Hyperliquid HIP-3 perpetual markets to U.S. traders, pending approval4 acc.
  3. UpdateHyperliquid signals plans to expand into the United States3 acc.
  4. UpdateRegulatory pathways for Hyperliquid perps emerge in the US and Europe2 acc.

All times UTC.

Cited posts

  • @wublockchain12 吴说区块链First reportOn X ↗

    吴说获悉,Grayscale 9 月 21 日研报指出,Kraken 母公司 Payward 计划通过 Hyperliquid 的许可制 HIP-3* 市场,向美国客户提供链上永续合约,相关计划仍需监管批准,并拟由旗下受 CFTC 监管的 Bitnomial 负责市场运营及合约清算、结算。Grayscale 称,Hyperliquid 在 2026…

  • @alex_hunter20 AlexOn X ↗

    Hyperliquid https://t.co/2eV6OlP4B9

  • @GrayscaleOn X ↗

    Hyperliquid is coming to the US. The 24/7 perpetual futures exchange averaged ~$9B in open interest during Q2 2026 and continues to grow. Now, @Payward, @krakenfx's partner company, plans to bring Hyperliquid HIP-3 markets to US traders. Hyperliquid.https://t.co/cTDRdYKQqx

Show 3 more cited posts
  • @CointelegraphOn X ↗

    🇺🇸 NEW: Kraken parent Payward plans to bring Hyperliquid HIP-3 perpetual futures markets to US traders. ⁠

  • @hypurrdash HyperdashOn X ↗

    Hyperliquid is coming home 🇺🇸 https://t.co/ioZJYFBrYo

  • @reisnertobias Tobias ReisnerOn X ↗

    Hyperliquid is coming to the US. https://t.co/883uXv3EcH

3 more accounts posted about this

TradersTrader calls tracked by Elfa · not advice

Positioning · HYPE

Open1,454 open positions · 1,371 long · 83 short

Tracked accounts lean long about 97% of the time, so a long-heavy book is normal, not a signal. As of 16 Oct 19:28 UTC.

Reaction since the first post

Since 21 Sep 15:04 UTC30+ calls opened · 26 long · 4 short

Ongoing flow, not necessarily a reaction: Elfa returns at most 30 calls, so this count is a floor.

Callers with a scored record

@mars_bnb short · entry $81.57alpha −0.032 · 60% hit rate · 20 scored
@alicharts long · entry $80.07alpha −0.039 · 45% hit rate · 20 scored
@TheMoonShow long · entry $79.84alpha −0.039 · 61% hit rate · 33 scored

Alpha, hit rate and sample size exactly as Elfa reports them.

Whole crypto market, not this story

Crowding88th percentile · vs last 28 days, 50 typical
Pulse 24h44/100 · unusualness of new calls, 0–100, 50 typical, higher means more long than usual
Book97.4% long · 11,376 accounts

As of 16 Oct 20:10 UTC.

Social-monitoring data, not investment advice Elfa prices CoinGecko post text from Xas of

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