J.P. Morgan Asset Management's 31st annual Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions report marks the first time the firm has issued a 10-year bitcoin return forecast, projecting 10% compounded annually with 55% volatility, versus 5.5% for gold. Bitcoin remains excluded from the firm's main covariance models due to unstable correlations, though a separate smaller matrix was introduced. Analysts Sheena Shah and Dennis Cristallo said clearer regulation, liquidity and price discovery could prompt revisions. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan welcomed the forecast but called the 55% volatility estimate too high, citing bitcoin's declining volatility over 15 years.

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Thread · 1 event
  1. First reportJPMorgan forecasts Bitcoin to outperform stocks and gold over the next decade141 acc.
  2. Leviathan published this article

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Cited posts

  • @SimplyBitcoin Simply BitcoinFirst reportOn X ↗

    BREAKING: JP Morgan adds Bitcoin to their Long-Term Capital Markets Assumptions paper and predict it will be the best-performing asset of the next decade.

  • @WuBlockchain Wu BlockchainOn X ↗

    JPMorgan Sees Bitcoin Outperforming U.S. Stocks and Gold Over Next Decade J.P. Morgan Asset Management, the investment arm of U.S. banking giant JPMorgan Chase, included Bitcoin in its long-term return forecasts for the first time, projecting a 10% compound annual return over…

  • @BitcoinNewsCom Bitcoin NewsOn X ↗

    🇺🇸 JPMORGAN FORECASTS BITCOIN TO OUTPERFORM STOCKS AND GOLD OVER NEXT DECADE JPMorgan Asset Management has included Bitcoin in its long-term capital market forecasts for the first time, projecting annualized returns of 10% over the next decade. The bank’s projections include:…

Show 3 more cited posts
  • @sjdedic Simon DedicOn X ↗

    this is incredible. for the first time ever, JPMorgan put out an actual long-term Bitcoin forecast, and it's strong af: they expect Bitcoin to be the single best performing asset class in their entire outlook, projecting a 10% compound annual return over the next decade. that's…

  • @coinbureau Coin BureauOn X ↗

    BREAKING: JPMorgan Asset Management projects Bitcoin to beat US stocks, bonds and gold with 10% annualized returns over the next 10 to 15 years. This also marks $BTC's FIRST appearance in JPMorgan's annual long term return forecasts.

  • @BitcoinHopium Bitcoin HopiumOn X ↗

    #BREAKING 🚨 BOOOOM 💥💥 JPMORGAN ASSET MANAGEMENT PROJECTS BITCOIN TO OUTPERFORM US STOCKS, BONDS, AND GOLD WITH A STUNNING 10% ANNUALIZED RETURN OVER THE NEXT 10 TO 15 YEARS! THIS IS $BTC'S FIRST TIME IN JPMORGAN'S LONG-TERM FORECASTS! This is a major signal for the…

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