Rate cut bets collapse to 2.9% as markets price 30% chance of Fed hikes amid oil-fueled inflation surge

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$708M in single-day BTC ETF outflows and Aave/Compound borrow rates are about to reprice higher with a 2-3 week lag — every leveraged long opened during the "cuts are coming" narrative is sitting on a ticking liquidation. Tokenized Treasury yields above 5% on Ondo and Maker's DSR are quietly absorbing the flight-to-yield crowd while speculative DeFi TVL bleeds. PCE hitting 3.5% by April with oil above $110 means the Fed isn't just done cutting — they're one hot CPI print away from hiking into a market still positioned for easing.

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Rate cut bets collapse to 2.9% as markets price 30% chance of Fed hikes amid oil-fueled inflation surge

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More on Rate Cut

US 10Y yield hit 4.63%, highest since Feb 2025, surpassing the level that triggered Trump's tariff pause, with mortgage rates near 7% and Fed rate cut odds collapsing to 2%

Bitcoin taps $73K as March CPI beats expectations at 3.3%, April rate cut odds still at zero

Insiders are selling at the fastest pace since COVID, macro data keeps missing, and rate cut odds fade as markets flirt with peak fear again.

Digital asset funds saw $454 million in weekly outflows, extending a four-day $1.3 billion withdrawal streak that nearly erased $1.5 billion in year-to-date inflows as expectations for a March Federal Reserve rate cut faded.

Market week ahead: Fed’s Expected December Rate Cut Poised to Set the Tone for Global Central Banks in a Pivotal Week for Monetary Policy.

Crypto markets are increasingly bearish as Bitcoin sharply falls from recent all-time highs. Myriad predictors now assign higher odds to further declines, while hopes for a December Fed rate cut fade, adding macro uncertainty and fueling potential liquidations.

US 10Y yield hit 4.63%, highest since Feb 2025, surpassing the level that triggered Trump's tariff pause, with mortgage rates near 7% and Fed rate cut odds collapsing to 2%

Bitcoin taps $73K as March CPI beats expectations at 3.3%, April rate cut odds still at zero

Insiders are selling at the fastest pace since COVID, macro data keeps missing, and rate cut odds fade as markets flirt with peak fear again.

Digital asset funds saw $454 million in weekly outflows, extending a four-day $1.3 billion withdrawal streak that nearly erased $1.5 billion in year-to-date inflows as expectations for a March Federal Reserve rate cut faded.

Market week ahead: Fed’s Expected December Rate Cut Poised to Set the Tone for Global Central Banks in a Pivotal Week for Monetary Policy.

Crypto markets are increasingly bearish as Bitcoin sharply falls from recent all-time highs. Myriad predictors now assign higher odds to further declines, while hopes for a December Fed rate cut fade, adding macro uncertainty and fueling potential liquidations.

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More on Rate Cut

US 10Y yield hit 4.63%, highest since Feb 2025, surpassing the level that triggered Trump's tariff pause, with mortgage rates near 7% and Fed rate cut odds collapsing to 2%

Bitcoin taps $73K as March CPI beats expectations at 3.3%, April rate cut odds still at zero

Insiders are selling at the fastest pace since COVID, macro data keeps missing, and rate cut odds fade as markets flirt with peak fear again.

Digital asset funds saw $454 million in weekly outflows, extending a four-day $1.3 billion withdrawal streak that nearly erased $1.5 billion in year-to-date inflows as expectations for a March Federal Reserve rate cut faded.

Market week ahead: Fed’s Expected December Rate Cut Poised to Set the Tone for Global Central Banks in a Pivotal Week for Monetary Policy.

Crypto markets are increasingly bearish as Bitcoin sharply falls from recent all-time highs. Myriad predictors now assign higher odds to further declines, while hopes for a December Fed rate cut fade, adding macro uncertainty and fueling potential liquidations.

US 10Y yield hit 4.63%, highest since Feb 2025, surpassing the level that triggered Trump's tariff pause, with mortgage rates near 7% and Fed rate cut odds collapsing to 2%

Bitcoin taps $73K as March CPI beats expectations at 3.3%, April rate cut odds still at zero

Insiders are selling at the fastest pace since COVID, macro data keeps missing, and rate cut odds fade as markets flirt with peak fear again.

Digital asset funds saw $454 million in weekly outflows, extending a four-day $1.3 billion withdrawal streak that nearly erased $1.5 billion in year-to-date inflows as expectations for a March Federal Reserve rate cut faded.

Market week ahead: Fed’s Expected December Rate Cut Poised to Set the Tone for Global Central Banks in a Pivotal Week for Monetary Policy.

Crypto markets are increasingly bearish as Bitcoin sharply falls from recent all-time highs. Myriad predictors now assign higher odds to further declines, while hopes for a December Fed rate cut fade, adding macro uncertainty and fueling potential liquidations.

Rate cut bets collapse to 2.9% as markets price 30% chance of Fed hikes amid oil-fueled inflation surge

More coverage

Explore the topic

More on Rate Cut

US 10Y yield hit 4.63%, highest since Feb 2025, surpassing the level that triggered Trump's tariff pause, with mortgage rates near 7% and Fed rate cut odds collapsing to 2%

Bitcoin taps $73K as March CPI beats expectations at 3.3%, April rate cut odds still at zero

Insiders are selling at the fastest pace since COVID, macro data keeps missing, and rate cut odds fade as markets flirt with peak fear again.

Digital asset funds saw $454 million in weekly outflows, extending a four-day $1.3 billion withdrawal streak that nearly erased $1.5 billion in year-to-date inflows as expectations for a March Federal Reserve rate cut faded.

Market week ahead: Fed’s Expected December Rate Cut Poised to Set the Tone for Global Central Banks in a Pivotal Week for Monetary Policy.

Crypto markets are increasingly bearish as Bitcoin sharply falls from recent all-time highs. Myriad predictors now assign higher odds to further declines, while hopes for a December Fed rate cut fade, adding macro uncertainty and fueling potential liquidations.

US 10Y yield hit 4.63%, highest since Feb 2025, surpassing the level that triggered Trump's tariff pause, with mortgage rates near 7% and Fed rate cut odds collapsing to 2%

Bitcoin taps $73K as March CPI beats expectations at 3.3%, April rate cut odds still at zero

Insiders are selling at the fastest pace since COVID, macro data keeps missing, and rate cut odds fade as markets flirt with peak fear again.

Digital asset funds saw $454 million in weekly outflows, extending a four-day $1.3 billion withdrawal streak that nearly erased $1.5 billion in year-to-date inflows as expectations for a March Federal Reserve rate cut faded.

Market week ahead: Fed’s Expected December Rate Cut Poised to Set the Tone for Global Central Banks in a Pivotal Week for Monetary Policy.

Crypto markets are increasingly bearish as Bitcoin sharply falls from recent all-time highs. Myriad predictors now assign higher odds to further declines, while hopes for a December Fed rate cut fade, adding macro uncertainty and fueling potential liquidations.

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Total stats

How to Earn

More on Rate Cut

US 10Y yield hit 4.63%, highest since Feb 2025, surpassing the level that triggered Trump's tariff pause, with mortgage rates near 7% and Fed rate cut odds collapsing to 2%

Bitcoin taps $73K as March CPI beats expectations at 3.3%, April rate cut odds still at zero

Insiders are selling at the fastest pace since COVID, macro data keeps missing, and rate cut odds fade as markets flirt with peak fear again.

Digital asset funds saw $454 million in weekly outflows, extending a four-day $1.3 billion withdrawal streak that nearly erased $1.5 billion in year-to-date inflows as expectations for a March Federal Reserve rate cut faded.

Market week ahead: Fed’s Expected December Rate Cut Poised to Set the Tone for Global Central Banks in a Pivotal Week for Monetary Policy.

Crypto markets are increasingly bearish as Bitcoin sharply falls from recent all-time highs. Myriad predictors now assign higher odds to further declines, while hopes for a December Fed rate cut fade, adding macro uncertainty and fueling potential liquidations.

US 10Y yield hit 4.63%, highest since Feb 2025, surpassing the level that triggered Trump's tariff pause, with mortgage rates near 7% and Fed rate cut odds collapsing to 2%

Bitcoin taps $73K as March CPI beats expectations at 3.3%, April rate cut odds still at zero

Insiders are selling at the fastest pace since COVID, macro data keeps missing, and rate cut odds fade as markets flirt with peak fear again.

Digital asset funds saw $454 million in weekly outflows, extending a four-day $1.3 billion withdrawal streak that nearly erased $1.5 billion in year-to-date inflows as expectations for a March Federal Reserve rate cut faded.

Market week ahead: Fed’s Expected December Rate Cut Poised to Set the Tone for Global Central Banks in a Pivotal Week for Monetary Policy.

Crypto markets are increasingly bearish as Bitcoin sharply falls from recent all-time highs. Myriad predictors now assign higher odds to further declines, while hopes for a December Fed rate cut fade, adding macro uncertainty and fueling potential liquidations.