New dashboard uses prediction markets to project national debt-to-GDP over 10 years alongside CBO forecasts.

The author has launched the Citizen Debt Forecast (CDF), a 10-year debt-to-GDP projection built from Kalshi prediction markets for inflation, real GDP, and Fed funds, layered on the CBO's fiscal baseline and displayed alongside the CBO's forecast. The announcement notes the national debt has crossed $40 trillion, with $20 trillion added in 18 years. For FY 2026, revenue was $5.6T against $7.4T in spending, a $1.9T deficit. Spending included 60% mandatory, 26% discretionary, and $1T in net interest. The author argues market-based forecasts update in real time, unlike centralized institutional models.

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