Kalshi launches Kalshi Research: Kalshi Research will provide internal Kalshi data to academics and other researchers interested in exploring topics related to prediction markets. The first research piece is live.

Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated U.S. prediction market platform, has launched Kalshi Research, a dedicated research arm that will give academics and other researchers structured access to the company’s internal prediction market data. According to Kalshi’s announcement, the unit is modeled on the research divisions of major AI labs and is intended to support rigorous study of how prediction markets work, how accurate they are compared with traditional forecasting methods, and what their pricing reveals about future events. The company has also stood up a public-facing research page and program, positioning this as an ongoing channel for collaboration with universities, analysts, and institutions. The launch is being used to debut the first in-house research piece: a study using Kalshi’s event-contract data to compare the platform’s inflation forecasts against Wall Street consensus estimates. In that study, Kalshi reports that its markets’ implied forecasts outperformed Wall Street by about 40% overall, matched or beat the Street on 85% of inflation prints one week before release, and delivered roughly 50% lower mean absolute error during “shock” periods when outcomes deviate sharply from expectations. The company argues these results make prediction-market prices a potentially valuable signal for policymakers, investors, and executives managing macroeconomic and volatility risk. Strategically, Kalshi Research is part of a broader effort to formalize prediction-market data as an institutional research input and to anchor the field in academic work. Kalshi says researchers from Harvard, Stanford, Yale, and the University of Chicago have already agreed to work with the program, and it plans to host a Prediction Market Conference bringing together forecasters, traders, and scholars. This move comes amid rapid company growth, including large funding rounds and new data-partnership initiatives such as a later tie-up with ProCap Financial to distribute prediction-market-based research to paying institutional subscribers, underscoring Kalshi’s push to evolve from a trading venue into a broader forecasting and data infrastructure provider.

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