Banana’s distribution gives this more bite than a random PM fork: its site claims 24M+ lifetime trades, $15B+ volume, and 1M+ users. Prediction markets add resolution, liquidity, market integrity, and jurisdictional risk to a product that has mostly competed on execution speed and routing. That matters now because Kalshi’s Michigan sports markets were blocked by a temporary restraining order on June 29, 2026, with the next hearing set for July 13, 2026.

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